Saturday 19 July 2014

German GP - Betting Preview

Nico to bounce back at his 'home' Grand Prix



After a fantastic result for @F1BetPreview, including 4 winners out of 6, the teams head to Germany at the midpoint of the season with rivalries heating up throughout the leaderboard.

The 2 points gained by Bianchi in Monaco is still enough to hold Caterham and the disappointing Sauber off in 9th position. Lotus and Torro Rosso are fighting closely for 7th whilst a fascinating scrap for 3rd continues. Mclaren, Force India, Ferrari and Williams are within touching distance of each other and the difference in prize money between 3rd and 6th will motivate the teams and the persistent development of the car. Red Bull are the only team relatively on their own but the four time German world champion will not want to be beaten by his new teammate Ricciardo who sits 28 points ahead.

It was starting to look like Rosberg was easing away from Hamilton in the biggest fight of all but his first DNF was punished by Hamilton to close the gap to just four points. We wrote two weeks ago that it was a must win race for Hamilton and he duly delivered with the added bonus of Rosberg failing to gain any points after a gearbox failure. 

Nico will be itching to put the disappointment behind him and put on a show for the German fans, yet a confident Lewis Hamilton can dominate this sport, shown by his 4 consecutive wins earlier in the season. The loss of FRIC may drag the rest of the field ever so slightly towards Mercedes but their advantage is still set to be evident across the weekend.

It's hard to call this race and again I cannot see their being much between the Mercedes duo. Sunday could throw some thunderstorms into the mix, making it even harder to predict how the race will pan out but I am really looking forward to it. Right throughout the field battles will commence once more. Could this be the race where drivers and teams stamp their authority on the 2014 season?

Best bets of the weekend

Winner: Nico Rosberg - 3.1

Nico appears to have taken his DNF on the chin and looks extra motivated rather than demotivated this weekend. It's a 50/50 call between Hamilton and Rosberg and at that price, Nico is probably worth the punt at his home Grand Prix.

Winner without Hamilton and Rosberg: Daniel Ricciardo - 3.3

Ricciardo looks strong this weekend and a podium finish is a realistic target for the Aussie. If the track stays hot then Red Bull seem to be able extract more out of the tyres than most.

Qualifying Top Ten: Jean-Eric Vergne - 2.8

It worked last week and hopefully it will again this week. The Torro Rosso boys are always on the cusp of a making it unto Q3 and their pace looks decent this weekend.

Other Bets

Fastest Lap: Nico Rosberg - 3.3

I'm expecting a close battle to the wire between Rosberg and Hamilton, it could go either way.


All odds courtesy of Betfair Exchange during FP3 on Saturday Morning.

@F1BetPreview @morgie247

Friday 4 July 2014

Silverstone GP - Betting Preview

Must win for Hamilton on home soil


A year on from tyre drama at Silverstone and the Mercedes showdown should be the talking point  from the famous British circuit as it reaches it's 50th anniversary this weekend.

After Williams out qualified the field in Austria, the Championship Leaders will be keen to assert their dominance once more and put in a strong performance throughout. Yet Hamilton and Rosberg will only be thinking of one thing, beating each other.

The pendulum has swung in the direction of Rosberg who has beat his teammate in the last three races and still has yet to finish outside the top two, resulting in a 29 point advantage.

The pressure has been ramped up by the German, evident in qualifying as Hamilton has struggled on what normally is his advantage on teammates in years gone by. Lewis has to get back to what he does best and concentrate on delivering the perfect lap in qualifying. A pole position will completely change the mindset of Hamilton who thrives on feeling the best and the body language will flip in a heartbeat. Can he get that all important one lap under the weight of the British public? Difficult call...

Showers in the air may help the Brit throughout the weekend as the potential of rain threatens Silverstone. The rest of the field will again be looking for help to catch the runaway Constructors Leaders and expect Williams to drop back into the chasing pack as the circuit combines long straights and high speed corners, bringing the Red Bull back into play after a disappointing Austrian GP two weeks ago.

Best bets of the weekend

Winner: Nico Rosberg - 3.25

The pressure is cranked up for Lewis this weekend at his home Grand Prix and I fear it maybe too much for him. Rosberg is in form, won in Silverstone last year and has that Championship lead to attack the circuit without the fear of losing the World Title. As much as I would love to see Hamilton win, 3.25 is a price that shouldn't be ignored

Podium Finish: Sebastian Vettel - 3.1

The Red Bull race pace has looked strong in FP2 and the unlucky streak Vettel is currently stuck in may end this weekend.

Top 6 Finish: Jenson Button - 3.0

Bit of a homer but the Mclaren look to have some good pace this weekend. A strong performance in rainy conditions on Saturday could boost Button and his chances of scoring some solid points.

Other Bets

Fastest Lap: Lewis Hamilton - 2.7

Whether he's out in front or chasing the lead, Hamilton will want to try and put on a show at some stage for the fans and he should be quick at the end of the race.

Quali/Win Double: Rosberg/Hamilton - 8

This outcome would definitely be one for the fans. If Rosberg can get pole then Hamilton will be full steam ahead to try and catch the Championship Leader. One to remember.

Qualifying Top 10: Daniil Kvyat - 2.04

At least one Toro Rosso has made the top 10 in qualifying in the last three races and Kvyat has done it twice in three races.

Bets we've made this weekend

All the bets above - couldn't help myself for Silverstone!


All odds courtesy of Betfair Exchange during FP2 on Friday Afternoon GMT.